Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.002842 0.003050 0.003276 0.003540 0.003844 0.004185 0.004600
2024-10-13 0.002512 0.002786 0.003102 0.003498 0.003991 0.004598 0.005424
2024-10-20 0.002230 0.002526 0.002881 0.003348 0.003965 0.004779 0.005998
2024-10-27 0.002078 0.002398 0.002795 0.003339 0.004099 0.005177 0.006961
2024-11-03 0.001871 0.002179 0.002568 0.003114 0.003898 0.005058 0.007095
2024-11-10 0.001800 0.002125 0.002546 0.003156 0.004075 0.005526 0.008353
2024-11-17 0.001750 0.002092 0.002545 0.003226 0.004298 0.006113 0.010094
2024-11-24 0.001675 0.002019 0.002484 0.003197 0.004360 0.006432 0.011445
2024-12-01 0.001643 0.002002 0.002496 0.003278 0.004610 0.007163 0.014325
2024-12-08 0.001586 0.001947 0.002450 0.003262 0.004690 0.007574 0.016704
2024-12-15 0.001523 0.001878 0.002380 0.003200 0.004676 0.007780 0.018632
2024-12-22 0.001501 0.001867 0.002393 0.003274 0.004926 0.008670 0.024772
2024-12-29 0.001476 0.001853 0.002404 0.003356 0.005224 0.009864 0.037019
2025-01-05 0.001426 0.001800 0.002353 0.003324 0.005288 0.010474 0.049609
2025-01-12 0.001357 0.001716 0.002249 0.003190 0.005113 0.010303 0.053765
2025-01-19 0.001321 0.001679 0.002217 0.003183 0.005218 0.011087 0.083170
2025-01-26 0.001244 0.001579 0.002080 0.002975 0.004843 0.010114 0.066586
2025-02-02 0.001225 0.001564 0.002078 0.003015 0.005041 0.011253 0.135853
2025-02-09 0.001211 0.001557 0.002088 0.003079 0.005311 0.012882 0.970486
2025-02-16 0.001181 0.001523 0.002053 0.003053 0.005354 0.013614 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001172 0.001521 0.002070 0.003127 0.005672 0.015985 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001147 0.001494 0.002042 0.003113 0.005749 0.017209 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001116 0.001456 0.001996 0.003056 0.005698 0.017635 NaN